25 Mar 2022 TwentyFour Blog The evidence doesn’t point to recession Growth in 2022 is likely to be above historical averages for most developed economies, even after adjusting forecasts for the impact of the Russian invasion. Read more
23 Mar 2022 TwentyFour Blog Is there value in floating rate bonds? Last week both the Fed and the BoE hiked rates by 0.25%, and judging by the Fed's dot plots and comments from the Bank of England (BoE), more hikes will likely follow in the coming months. Read more
22 Mar 2022 TwentyFour Blog Powell confirms Fed pivot is complete Officially the Fed pivoted from its ‘transitory’ inflation rhetoric in December last year. Read more
21 Mar 2022 TwentyFour Blog Is there enough of an ESG premium in EM? Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has triggered fresh debate about ESG considerations in fixed income, particularly when it comes to emerging markets assets. Read more
18 Mar 2022 TwentyFour Blog BoE sounds caution on the real economy The hawkishness of the Fed on Wednesday paved the way for the Bank of England (BoE) to follow suit. Read more
17 Mar 2022 TwentyFour Blog Wave of inflation means companies will sink or swim on pricing power Soaring inflation was already a dominant theme for markets coming into 2022. The sanctions imposed on Russia in response to its invasion of Ukraine have only exacerbated its expected rise, and pushed its expected peak further out. Read more
16 Mar 2022 TwentyFour Blog FOMC: Central bankers face conundrum on inflation and growth The much-anticipated March FOMC meeting is finally upon us, and given there was no meeting in February investors will be very glad of this window into the Fed’s thinking, particularly given the ongoing and far-reaching economic ramifications of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Read more
14 Mar 2022 TwentyFour Blog Investors face conundrum on government bond allocations We think a base case that central banks will follow a more measured monetary policy path than markets are currently pricing in is reasonable given the current backdrop. Read more
10 Mar 2022 Market Update Letter to investors Global bond markets have moved sharply in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as investors have tried to assess the impact of an unprecedented raft of financial and economic sanctions. Mark Holman looks at the potential implications for inflation and growth, and highlights some areas of fixed income where yields have risen to near-crisis levels. Read more