Corporate hybrid boom comes with pricing risks
Corporate hybrid issuance is on track for a record year in both Europe and the US, driven by expanding supply well beyond the traditional utilities, energy, and telecoms issuers.
Flash Fixed Income: Risks unbalanced as “war premium” fades
Sharp swings in government and corporate bond markets since the onset of the Middle East conflict pose interesting questions for fixed income investors.
European HY spread widening has been targeted and orderly
European high yield (HY) credit, which had proved resilient to start 2026 despite growing concerns over AI risks, came under pressure in March as the Iran war disrupted global trade and weighed heavily on risk appetite.
Is private credit a bond market problem?
Negative headlines around private credit have intensified this year, driven by the AI-related software sell-off and the news that most players have restricted withdrawals from retail private credit funds.
Geopolitics in the driver’s seat
Markets have entered another week with geopolitical headlines as the major driver of price action, and with uncertainty running high, we think the likelihood of spreads revisiting their tights of this year has reduced.
This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
With no end in sight to the US-Israeli war with Iran, and tensions escalating once again over the weekend, investors are bracing for more volatility. Inflation fears have ramped up significantly, reflected clearly in government bond markets where rising yields show rate cuts being priced out and rate hikes increasingly being priced in.
Is number of UK savers a problem for the Bank of England?
Data published by the Bank of England (BoE) on Friday shows an interesting trend in consumers’ approach to interest rates.
Flash Fixed Income: Iran shock is driving central banks apart
As fixed income investors, our focus is on how the shock ripples through the variables that matter most for bonds: inflation, growth, and how central banks respond.
Record supply amid Iran turmoil shows weight of demand for bonds
Despite the oil price hanging on every word from the White House and volatility in everything from equities to government bonds, we saw a record day for US corporate bond supply on Tuesday led by a blockbuster deal from Amazon.
CLOs reprice as software and geopolitics test sentiment
Collateralised Loan Obligation (CLO) markets have repriced meaningfully over the past few weeks, with a sell-off in software-related loans leading to even more spread “tiering” as investors differentiate between managers with lower exposure to stressed sectors and those carrying more tail risk.
Iran, energy shocks and the inflation challenge
As the US-Israeli military operation in Iran enters its fourth day, markets are continuing to react to rhetoric from both sides and attempting to gauge how long the conflict may last and what the impact will be on the local and global economies.
What the bear case on AI is missing
We have had an eventful few weeks of AI-driven volatility in markets, with markets seemingly swinging from “everyone’s a winner” to “everyone’s a loser” faster than technological progress itself.