Record supply amid Iran turmoil shows weight of demand for bonds
Despite the oil price hanging on every word from the White House and volatility in everything from equities to government bonds, we saw a record day for US corporate bond supply on Tuesday led by a blockbuster deal from Amazon.
CLOs reprice as software and geopolitics test sentiment
Collateralised Loan Obligation (CLO) markets have repriced meaningfully over the past few weeks, with a sell-off in software-related loans leading to even more spread “tiering” as investors differentiate between managers with lower exposure to stressed sectors and those carrying more tail risk.
Iran, energy shocks and the inflation challenge
As the US-Israeli military operation in Iran enters its fourth day, markets are continuing to react to rhetoric from both sides and attempting to gauge how long the conflict may last and what the impact will be on the local and global economies.
What the bear case on AI is missing
We have had an eventful few weeks of AI-driven volatility in markets, with markets seemingly swinging from “everyone’s a winner” to “everyone’s a loser” faster than technological progress itself.
European banks carry profit momentum into 2026
With most European banks having now reported their full-year 2025 results, we see the sector carrying solid momentum into 2026.
One-off budget boost for UK doesn’t change our outlook on Gilts
News of governments achieving their budgetary objectives or borrowing less than market forecasts has been a rarity in the last few decades.
Flash Fixed Income: AI and the software sell-off
Market focus has shifted in recent weeks from hyperscaler spending to the threat AI could pose to numerous software-as-a-service (SaaS) businesses.
AT1 issuance off to a strong start
Issuers in corporate credit have started this year on the front foot, capitalising on the current supportive market conditions and front loading their funding plans in anticipation of higher funding needs from the hyperscalers in the US, among other factors.
Decoding Warsh’s Fed balance sheet plans is far from simple
As Jerome Powell enters his final months at the helm of the Federal Reserve (Fed), market participants have been busy analysing the past speeches of his nominated replacement, Kevin Warsh, with the aim of forming a view as to how his hand is likely to be played.
Credit in a volatile world - slow and steady wins the race
The month of January has been a very eventful one for markets, mostly courtesy of geopolitical events, ranging from the capture of Venezuela’s sitting president and arguably culminating in Mark Carney’s speech at Davos.
Oracle clears the supply cloud with record demand
Oracle returned to the bond market yesterday, just five months after its $18 billion September jumbo deal, finally removing the cloud of uncertainty around supply that has hung over the credit.
FX volatility running high
Foreign exchange markets have taken centre stage again in recent weeks. President Trump’s apparent indifference to the relatively steep dollar depreciation trend of late has raised a few eyebrows and added fuel to the dollar fire.