The Rodney Blog 2023: A return to returns
In our annual ‘Rodney Blog’, Eoin Walsh says that with rates now offering both yield and downside mitigation, and credit yields at near-decade highs, fixed income investors could enjoy strong returns in 2023
What everyone is talking about in Switzerland
UBS announced a call of its low-reset 5% Additional Tier 1 (AT1) notes on Monday, showing call risk in the AT1 sector isn’t just a matter of economics, says Dillon Lancaster.
Are storm clouds gathering over the UK housing market? Part one…
In the first of a two-part series on the UK housing market, Shilpa Pathak looks at the experience of previous recessions and argues fundamentals today look far stronger than they did either in 2007 or the early 1990s
Labour market the driving force for the Fed
Following Chairman Powell’s speech last night, George Curtis looks at what the latest labour market data means for the Fed’s war on inflation.
TwentyFour Advent Calendar 2022
The TwentyFour Advent Calendar is a collection of 24 stats telling the story of fixed income this year. The calendar covers everything from yields and issuance records to fund flows and inflation figures, and our ESG filter has even ruled out lumps of coal.
Highest starting yields since ‘08 predict strong five-year returns
Chris Bowie explains why he believes analysing starting yields can explain improved returns over the next five years
Are short term bonds the ‘best game in town’?
With investors caught between inflation and recession, Chris Bowie argues current valuations in short term, investment grade bonds can offer portfolios both downside protection and attractive yields.
Reasons to be constructive on extension risk
Telefonica’s reopening of the corporate hybrid market is further evidence that large issuers with proven track records and strong financials will call their bonds even if it looks uneconomic to do so, says Johnathan Owen.
Hint of cooling inflation can restore stability
With a US inflation print finally coming in below expectations, can investors start to picture decent returns again? Or will this latest relief rally prove another false dawn?
ABS liquidity is there when you need it most
With the UK pension fund liquidity crisis sparking heavy selling in ABS, Pauline Quirin looks at how the market absorbed all the supply, and which investors have stepped in sensing a buying opportunity.
Credit quality deterioration is inevitable
Credit metrics will continue to deteriorate in the next year or two, but European high yield bonds in particular are pricing in too severe a downturn, says Mark Holman
Healthy premiums drive big day for primary markets
With well over €10bn of new bonds sold by European banks and corporates on Monday, Felipe Villarroel analyses the pricing and looks at the patterns that usually emerge when primary markets reopen.
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