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    Flash Fixed Income
    Flash Fixed Income: Fiscal Friction - Sovereign heat, Corporate insulation
    France’s chronic government paralysis repeatedly created headlines this month, and fixed income markets are rightly worried about the sustainability of French government borrowing levels. Meanwhile, forecasts of a £50bn blackhole in the UK’s public finances are keeping gilt yields elevated and have made this November’s UK Budget a potential flashpoint.

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Europe

Flash Fixed Income
20 Oct 2025 Flash Fixed Income

Flash Fixed Income: Fiscal Friction - Sovereign heat, Corporate insulation

France’s chronic government paralysis repeatedly created headlines this month, and fixed income markets are rightly worried about the sustainability of French government borrowing levels. Meanwhile, forecasts of a £50bn blackhole in the UK’s public finances are keeping gilt yields elevated and have made this November’s UK Budget a potential flashpoint.
Read more
T-Bill and Chill: Running out of steam?
16 Oct 2025 TwentyFour Blog

T-Bill and Chill: Running out of steam?

Earlier this month, we wrote about the high cost of staying in cash in the Euro market. In that note, we argued that a combination of inflation, low front-end rates and steeper curves, favoured a rotation out of cash and cash like instruments into other alternatives that delivered better real returns, including credit. Building on this argument, we wanted to extend this perspective to the US dollar market and highlight a few key points.
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French Politics: Deja Vu
7 Oct 2025 TwentyFour Blog

French politics: déjà vu

France is in the news again. Prime Minister Lecornu became the latest casualty of the French politics saga that began just over a year ago when president Macron called a surprise early election.
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Despite tight spreads, European HY is not overheating
2 Oct 2025 TwentyFour Blog

Despite tight spreads, European HY is not overheating

Tight spreads and elevated supply are often key signs that fixed income markets are overheating. Despite these all being present within the European High Yield market today, the underlying data points to a more measured backdrop characterised by the printing of high-quality new issues, improving credit fundamentals and a stubbornly supportive technical background, offering investors reassurance over the medium-term future of the asset class.
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The pain is getting real for those long cash
1 Oct 2025 Market Update

The pain is getting real for those long cash

In November 2023, we estimated that holding cash, as opposed to staying invested, could cost investors 10-30% over a three-year period. At the time, we highlighted that interest rates had reached their cyclical peaks and were likely to decrease from that point.
Read more
Santander setting the pace in European ABS
23 Sep 2025 TwentyFour Blog

Santander setting the pace in European ABS

Following the end of quantitative easing in 2023, the European ABS market has gone from strength to strength and 2025 is set to overtake the post-2008 new issuance record set in 2024.
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Is there value in the troubled European chemicals sector?
16 Sep 2025 TwentyFour Blog

Is there value in the troubled European chemicals sector?

As active managers we are naturally looking for bonds that we believe are mispriced, therefore offering attractive risk-adjusted carry or, sometimes, a capital gain if market pricing falls into line with our view. Equally important is to avoid sectors facing structural or protracted cyclical downturns where we don’t think valuations reflect the fundamentals.
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Ratings uplift a boost for European financials
15 Sep 2025 TwentyFour Blog

Ratings uplift a boost for European financials

A trio of rating upgrades in European financials late last week has highlighted the strength of fundamentals in the sector. With the proportion of the subordinated financials that is rated investment grade continuing to grow, the wider pool of investors targeting these bonds could help to dampen volatility in the asset class.
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How will digital currencies impact banks?
2 Sep 2025 TwentyFour Blog

How will digital currencies impact banks?

The European Central Bank (ECB) is reportedly accelerating its work on a digital version of the euro (the dEuro), having seen the US pass the Genius Act in July which paved the way for broader adoption of so-called stablecoins.
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Asset-backed finance: How does Europe stack up?
29 Aug 2025 Market Update

Asset-backed finance: How does Europe stack up?

The $5.2tr asset-backed finance (ABF) market represents a growing opportunity to gain exposure to high quality loan pools and the returns they can generate.
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Credit’s cash pile ready for September supply
29 Aug 2025 TwentyFour Blog

Credit’s cash pile ready for September supply

We have long harked on about the strength of the technical in credit, with solid fundamentals, resilient inflows and defensive positioning continuing to provide a tailwind for the market.
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Improving growth forecasts matter for markets
22 Aug 2025 TwentyFour Blog

Improving growth forecasts matter for markets

On Thursday, markets received preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) figures for August. As a reminder, PMIs are timely indicators of trends in manufacturing and services, with a number above 50 signalling an expansion and below 50 a contraction.
Read more
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