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  • Flash Fixed Income: AI and the software sell-off
  • Flash Fixed Income: Iran shock is driving central banks apart
  • Iran, energy shocks and the inflation challenge
  • CLOs reprice as software and geopolitics test sentiment
  • What the bear case on AI is missing
  • This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
  • Navigating 2026 risks with short-dated credit
  • Decoding Warsh’s Fed balance sheet plans is far from simple
  • Record supply amid Iran turmoil shows weight of demand for bonds
  • AT1 issuance off to a strong start
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    This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
    This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
    With no end in sight to the US-Israeli war with Iran, and tensions escalating once again over the weekend, investors are bracing for more volatility. Inflation fears have ramped up significantly, reflected clearly in government bond markets where rising yields show rate cuts being priced out and rate hikes increasingly being priced in.

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TwentyFour

Beyond The Subprime Crisis: Decrypting the European and US RMBS Markets
Dec 20 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Beyond The Subprime Crisis: Decrypting the European and US RMBS Markets

The tightening of monetary policy has given rise to concerns about the health of mortgage markets due to higher interest rates , leading to questions about the expected resilience of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS).
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Why the rally means staying in cash could cost you even more
Dec 14 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Why the bond rally means staying in cash could cost you even more

The direction of monetary policy rates going forward is more clear, following the Federal Reserve's release of its new summary of economic projections and the dovish remarks of Jerome Powell.
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 Squeezed: The upshot of the Fed’s quantitative tightening program
Dec 12 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Squeezed: The upshot of the Fed’s quantitative tightening program

Following October’s encouraging US CPI report and the subsequent comments from Federal Reserve officials, financial markets now anticipate that the Fed has completed its rate hiking cycle having reached terminal rates.
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Developments in China to have global growth impacts
Dec 08 2023 TwentyFour Blog

China: It is now imperative the government sorts out its problems

The Chinese economy has experienced a lot of volatility in 2023.
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The Rodney blog 2024: strong returns ahead
Dec 07 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Fixed Income outlook 2024: strong returns ahead

After a horrible year for financial markets in 2022, the macro-outlook for 2023 had a lot of consensus views, with most predicting a much better year ahead, helped by supportive rate cuts from central banks and positive returns from both government bonds and credit.  
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First cut now in sight as interest-rate hikes come to an end
Dec 05 2023 TwentyFour Blog

First cut now in sight as interest-rate hikes come to an end

The cuts are coming as the cycle of interest-rate hikes ends. In his latest blog, George Curtis discusses how falling inflation, weaker job reports, and signs of a European recession are reshaping expectations for interest rates.
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Ford’s upgrade helps the US high-yield market to motor
Dec 04 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Ford’s upgrade helps the US high-yield market to motor

Ford reclaims its investment-grade status after almost four years in high-yield territory. Chris Holman's latest blog reveals why this isn’t just a win for the car company and will have a positive impact on the entire US high-yield market.
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Christmas tree bauble 2023
Dec 01 2023 Market Update

TwentyFour Advent Calendar 2023

The TwentyFour Advent Calendar is a collection of 24 stats telling the story of fixed income and markets this year. The calendar covers everything from interest-rate rises and record bond issuance to falling house prices and disappearing banks.
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CLO metrics remain robust as leveraged loans beat expectations
Nov 30 2023 TwentyFour Blog

CLO metrics remain robust as leveraged loans beat expectations

Recently, our credit experts delved into the performance of the high-yield market, revealing how the maturity wall does not seem to be a significant challenge for most companies.
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Shop till you drop? What the holiday season tells us about consumer health
Nov 29 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Shop till you drop? What the holiday season tells us about US consumer health

As we dive into the festive season, recent retail sales hint at a mixed bag for US retailers. In his latest blog, David Norris tells us what it all means for the health of the consumer and guides us through the latest events.
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Eurozone and UK PMIs showing signs of life
Nov 24 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Good but not perfect: European and UK PMIs beat expectations

Yesterday unveiled the latest Manufacturing and Services PMIs in Europe, bringing a mix of economic news. Dive into the results with Felipe Villarroel as he looks at the numbers and what they mean for central banks in the battle against inflation.
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Far-right leader wins Dutch election but markets remain calm
Nov 23 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Far-right leader wins Dutch election but markets remain calm

The Dutch elections took an unexpected turn as it looks like Geert Wilders' Freedom Party (PVV) will gain 20 seats and become the largest party with 37 of 150 seats.
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