Time to extract value from Europe’s bargain bonds
When Wall Street’s army of analysts were publishing their outlooks for 2023 back in November, there was very little love for Europe.
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Multi-Sector Bonds
The Rodney Blog 2023: A return to returns
In our annual ‘Rodney Blog’, Eoin Walsh says that with rates now offering both yield and downside mitigation, and credit yields at near-decade highs, fixed income investors could enjoy strong returns in 2023
Credit quality deterioration is inevitable
Credit metrics will continue to deteriorate in the next year or two, but European high yield bonds in particular are pricing in too severe a downturn, says Mark Holman
Has the UK risk premium gone too far?
With some UK bank bonds now trading with higher yields than their counterparts in Turkey, Mark Holman questions whether the dumping of UK and sterling assets has gone too far.
Where and when will US Treasuries peak?
Rates volatility has done plenty of damage to portfolios in 2022. Where, and when, will US Treasury yields peak? Mark Holman shares his views in his latest video.
Default risk still subdued despite escalating energy crisis
While economic uncertainty in Europe is building, the healthy cash balances and low refinancing needs of Europe’s high yield bond issuers make a spike in defaults unlikely, says George Curtis.
Europe vs. the US – it's just a question of value
With Europe facing an energy crisis and the UK bracing for a five-quarter recession, a strong allocation bias to the US seems a no-brainer. However, George Curtis says that when looking at relative value in fixed income, the decision is never that simple.
Why 85 is the new par in high yield
Pierre Beniguel explains why high yield issuers are selling new bonds at steep discounts to par value, and why this represents an opportunity to build potentially significant performance into fixed income portfolios going forward.
US bank chiefs still like the consumer
US banks remain bullish about the health of the consumer, but credit spreads are still pricing in not only a recession, but a fairly severe one. Are the banks wrong? Or have credit markets just backed up too far on negative fund flows?
Heimstaden and hybrids: to call or not to call
With Heimstaden showing its commitment to corporate hybrids with a €600m tender offer, Pierre Beniguel looks at the complex decision issuers have to make and says more could follow suit with bonds trading at steep discounts.
The Fed and the flows are looking at inflation head-on
After H1 2022 broke market records for all the wrong reasons, Gary Kirk says fixed income outflows could reverse quickly if investors see evidence that central banks are turning the tide on inflation.
Low issuance – a sign of strong fundamentals?
The US high yield market has experienced the third lightest month in terms of new issue flows since the Global Financial Crisis. Chris Holman explains what this means for default rates going into the second half of the year.