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    Flash Fixed Income: Fiscal Friction - Sovereign heat, Corporate insulation
    France’s chronic government paralysis repeatedly created headlines this month, and fixed income markets are rightly worried about the sustainability of French government borrowing levels. Meanwhile, forecasts of a £50bn blackhole in the UK’s public finances are keeping gilt yields elevated and have made this November’s UK Budget a potential flashpoint.

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Insights Topic

US

Fed still on narrow path to soft landing
10 Jan 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Fed still on narrow path to soft landing

Recent employment data suggests the US economy may escape with a soft landing, a welcome boost to market sentiment in the early days of 2023, says Eoin Walsh.
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6 Dec 2022 TwentyFour Blog

The Rodney Blog 2023: A return to returns

In our annual ‘Rodney Blog’, Eoin Walsh says that with rates now offering both yield and downside mitigation, and credit yields at near-decade highs, fixed income investors could enjoy strong returns in 2023
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Labour market the driving force for the Fed
1 Dec 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Labour market the driving force for the Fed

Following Chairman Powell’s speech last night, George Curtis looks at what the latest labour market data means for the Fed’s war on inflation.
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24_2021-11-22_Blog_Teaser
22 Nov 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Highest starting yields since ‘08 predict strong five-year returns

Chris Bowie explains why he believes analysing starting yields can explain improved returns over the next five years
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Why short term bonds are the best game in town image
17 Nov 2022 Market Update

Are short term bonds the ‘best game in town’?

With investors caught between inflation and recession, Chris Bowie argues current valuations in short term, investment grade bonds can offer portfolios both downside protection and attractive yields.
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Hint of cooling inflation can restore stability
14 Nov 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Hint of cooling inflation can restore stability

With a US inflation print finally coming in below expectations, can investors start to picture decent returns again? Or will this latest relief rally prove another false dawn?
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Credit quality deterioration is inevitable
9 Nov 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Credit quality deterioration is inevitable

Credit metrics will continue to deteriorate in the next year or two, but European high yield bonds in particular are pricing in too severe a downturn, says Mark Holman
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game changer
29 Sep 2022 Market Update

Rates stability would be a game-changer for fixed income

With central banks speeding through their hiking cycles, a return to rates stability (elusive thus far) could allow investors to reap the rewards of bond yields that are unusually high for this point in the cycle.
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Where and when will US Treasuries peak
21 Sep 2022 Market Update

Where and when will US Treasuries peak?

Rates volatility has done plenty of damage to portfolios in 2022. Where, and when, will US Treasury yields peak? Mark Holman shares his views in his latest video.

Watch now
Rates volatility not quite over yet
14 Sep 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Rates volatility not quite over yet

With US inflation data once again hammering markets, Mark Holman says that with US Treasury yields likely approaching their peak, a shift in sentiment for risk assets isn’t far away.
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50 or 75? Across the board - both are live
31 Aug 2022 TwentyFour Blog

50 or 75? Across the board - both are live

Dillon Lancaster evaluates the impact of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on inflation and why he believes next month is set to be a very important period for central bank meetings.
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Europe vs. the US – it's just a question of value
19 Aug 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Europe vs. the US – it's just a question of value

With Europe facing an energy crisis and the UK bracing for a five-quarter recession, a strong allocation bias to the US seems a no-brainer. However, George Curtis says that when looking at relative value in fixed income, the decision is never that simple.
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