Monetary Policy

Thursday’s ECB meeting left us in little doubt that we should expect some serious action in December, including the possibility of some new, as yet unused measures.

Unlike the past six months, where nearly all new deals performed well in the secondary market, from here on in that is far from guaranteed. Expect winners and losers.

George Curtis discusses Q3 performance for credit markets and provides his outlook for the rest of the year.

Overall, in our view there may be some temporary volatility ahead which investors can try to sidestep or even take advantage of, but it’s probably not worth trying to be too cute as our medium term outlook is still constructive.

TwentyFour CEO Mark Holman provides a macro outlook before discussing his views on a critical US presidential election and how it could impact the economy and the markets.

Gary Kirk and Eoin Walsh hosted a breakout session on the MSB stage where they provided an update on portfolio performance and their outlook for fixed income markets.

Partner and Portfolio Manager Eoin Walsh discusses Q2 performance for the Strategic Income strategy and provides his outlook for 2020.

Partner and Portfolio Manager Felipe Villarroel provides an update on fixed income markets.

There have been two topics concerning the yield curve in the press over the last few days, which we think merit closer attention. As regular readers will know, the US yield curve in particular is closely followed by market participants and can dictate a lot of what happens in fixed income markets globally.

A lot has been made of the recent recovery in equity markets, especially in the US, given the obvious underlying weaknesses in the economy. It is quite clear to us the economic fundamentals do not justify such high valuations in risk assets, but despite being a serious consideration in our assessment, there is often much more to valuations than just fundamentals.

CEO Mark Holman provides his outlook for credit markets in 2020, highlighting investment themes and sectors that still offer fixed income investors good relative value.

Partner and Portfolio Manager Felipe Villarroel provides an update on fixed income markets.