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  • Iran, energy shocks and the inflation challenge
  • CLOs reprice as software and geopolitics test sentiment
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  • This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
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    This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
    This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
    With no end in sight to the US-Israeli war with Iran, and tensions escalating once again over the weekend, investors are bracing for more volatility. Inflation fears have ramped up significantly, reflected clearly in government bond markets where rising yields show rate cuts being priced out and rate hikes increasingly being priced in.

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Hint of inflation peak further fuel for fixed income
Aug 11 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Hint of inflation peak further fuel for fixed income

Investors are eyeing a peak in inflation once more after US data came in lower than expected for the first time this year, and with credit finally seeing positive flows again, George Curtis sees markets grinding tighter over the rest of the summer.
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There is plenty more yield to come in floating rate bonds
Aug 08 2022 TwentyFour Blog

There is plenty more yield to come in floating rate bonds

Fixed rate bond yields may have climbed as markets priced in higher interest rates, but both existing and new investors in floating rate bonds have more to gain as central banks keep hiking, says Pauline Quirin
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Abandon all hope ye who enter here size
Aug 05 2022 TwentyFour Blog

"Abandon all hope ye who enter here"

With the Bank of England doling out a double dose of doom on UK inflation and growth on Thursday, Eoin Walsh says it is refreshing for investors to get such a candid assessment from a central bank.
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What is the AT1 market pricing in?
Jul 29 2022 TwentyFour Blog

What is the AT1 market pricing in?

With bank Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bonds broadly trading at a 10% discount to par and many being priced to perpetuity, Dillon Lancaster suggests investors are either missing or ignoring the solid fundamentals on show in Q2 earnings.
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why 85 is the new par in high yield size
Jul 28 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Why 85 is the new par in high yield

Pierre Beniguel explains why high yield issuers are selling new bonds at steep discounts to par value, and why this represents an opportunity to build potentially significant performance into fixed income portfolios going forward.
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Barren Q2 suggests autumn opportunity in ABS Teaser
Jul 27 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Barren Q2 suggests autumn opportunity in ABS

European ABS issuers largely held off on printing new deals in Q2 as broader market volatility saw spreads widen, but we are already seeing more investor-friendly structures and many favoured names are likely to bring deals offering markedly higher yields when activity picks up again.
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Upcoming US earnings season sheds light on the health of corporate America
Jul 26 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Upcoming US earnings season sheds light on the health of corporate America

With earnings season entering full swing, David Norris highlights some indicators to look out for when assessing the current state of the US economy and the resulting actions expected from the Fed.
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Asset-Backed Securities Quarterly Update – July 2022 Teaser
Jul 20 2022 Market Update

Asset-Backed Securities Quarterly Update – July 2022

Douglas Charleston looks at the development of the European ABS market in the second quarter of 2022 and explains what this could mean for investors going forward.
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US bank chiefs still like the consumer
Jul 19 2022 TwentyFour Blog

US bank chiefs still like the consumer

US banks remain bullish about the health of the consumer, but credit spreads are still pricing in not only a recession, but a fairly severe one. Are the banks wrong? Or have credit markets just backed up too far on negative fund flows?
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Jul 15 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Why are CLOs pricing in a worse recession than Moody’s?

With yields on B rated CLO bonds now as high as 18%, Elena Rinaldi looks at various scenarios for corporate default rates and questions why investors are overshooting even the most pessimistic scenarios.
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Buy now while spreads last
Jul 14 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Buy now while spreads last

With corporate bond spreads having risen to not far short of crisis levels, Johnathan Owen argues the 4%-plus yields on offer in short dated investment grade are an attractive entry point for investors that might not be around for long.
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Heimstaden and hybrids to call or not to call
Jul 12 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Heimstaden and hybrids: to call or not to call

With Heimstaden showing its commitment to corporate hybrids with a €600m tender offer, Pierre Beniguel looks at the complex decision issuers have to make and says more could follow suit with bonds trading at steep discounts.
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