Letter to Investors
Clearly 2021 has brought a change in narrative around long duration assets and the risks of further yield curve steepening.
Fed Not Playing Backstop for Treasury Yields
Our year-end forecast of 1.50% for the 10-year is already looking very out of date, and it would be a brave person right now to suggest that 2% won’t be touched any time this year as the recovery gets into full flow with the Fed holding its tongue.
Securitisation Written Out of UKAR Success
Last week UK Asset Resolution (UKAR) announced the sale of its final mortgage loan portfolios, bringing to a close a decade long chapter of state ownership.
US Yield Curve Set To Continue Underperforming
In summary things are going quite well, and in this scenario a rise in government bond yields does not necessarily bring about a tightening of financial conditions.
Comprehending The Treasury Move
A couple of weeks ago we wrote about Treasuries breaking new ground and the potential for them to go higher as higher inflation expectations gathered pace.
The UK Savings Ratio: How Far Can It Go?
The Bank of England have just added to the debate about how much of the recent surge in savings will be deployed in the form of consumption as we return to ‘normality’.