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    What happens when Fed credibility comes under pressure?
    What happens when Fed credibility comes under pressure?
    The latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting left a strange taste on investors' mouths. In our view, Chair Kevin Warsh failed to clarify the Federal Reserve’s (Fed's) reaction function and the central bank’s views on the current economic picture and relating to monetary policy.

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TwentyFour
What next for US regional banks with rates expected to be higher for longer?
Oct 09 2023 TwentyFour Blog

What next for US regional banks with rates expected to be higher for longer?

As we commence upon earnings season, we will be paying close attention to another round of updates from the US regional banks, particularly within the context of a “higher-for-longer” rate environment. With wider adoption of a soft-landing view, as well as a higher treasury yield backdrop, we explore what implications this has for the US regional banks.
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TwentyFour
Sharp move in USTs on Soft Landing
Oct 06 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Sharp move in US treasuries led by talk of a soft landing

The last few weeks has seen a sharp move up in long dated Treasuries, since the week of the FOMC meeting in September the US 10 year has moved up 45bp to 4.75% with a brief flirt with 4.90% in the meantime
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TwentyFour
That shrinking feeling: Money supply tightens as rate hikes feed through
Sep 27 2023 TwentyFour Blog

That shrinking feeling: Money supply tightens as rate hikes feed through

Following the recent publication of the European Central Bank's monthly “Monetary Developments in the Euro Area” report, Felipe Villarroel takes a deep dive into how this report evidences the impact that successive rate hikes are having on the economy
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TwentyFour
Pause for thought: Was this the BoE's final rate hike?
Sep 25 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Pause for thought: Was this the BoE's final rate hike?

Are central banks now at a point where they are done with hiking cycles and are we seeing a positive outcome for fixed income?
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TwentyFour
Deals come thick and fast in European ABS after summer recess
Sep 22 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Deals come thick and fast in European ABS after summer recess

The European ABS market is making a strong comeback post-summer, witnessing two of the busiest weeks in over a decade, driven by robust demand.
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TwentyFour
Fed rates held: Goldilocks is in the building
Sep 21 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Fed rates held: Goldilocks is in the building

Eoin Walsh shares his thoughts following last night's statement from the Federal Reserve, concluding that for now while treasury yields aren’t helping, credit looks attractive based on the rosy economic forecasts.
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TwentyFour
That's all folks
Sep 15 2023 TwentyFour Blog

ECB: That's All Folks?

Felipe Villarroel argues that it will not be long before we see yields in fixed income assets at levels markedly above spot inflation which could translate in investors racing to lock in those yields.
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TwentyFour
Growing signs that the UK labour market is weakening
Sep 13 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Growing signs that the UK labour market is weakening

The labour market has been one of the major headaches the Bank of England has had to deal with in their battle against inflation. Yesterday the ONS released their monthly labour market update and although some of those headaches’ causes are not abating, there are others that are actually showing signs of progress.
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TwentyFour
ECB's turn to skip?
Sep 11 2023 TwentyFour Blog

ECB’s turn to skip?

Dillon Lancaster comments on the divergence in views from ECB members, and whether the end of the week will see a 'skip' or 'hawkish pause'. He believes either outcome is not likely to have a huge effect on the market.
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TwentyFour
New Issues highlight value opportunities in Fixed Income
Sep 04 2023 TwentyFour Blog

New issues highlight value opportunities in fixed income

Pierre Beniguel gives his thoughts on some of the deals that have caught his eye from the reopening of the primary market after a quiet summer.
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TwentyFour
How UK mortgages are weathering the storm?
Aug 31 2023 TwentyFour Blog

How UK mortgages are weathering the storm?

Pauline Quirin asks the question "How are UK mortgages weathering the storm?", exploring pre and post Global Financial Crisis mortgages and how the surge in rates has impacted the performance of UK RMBS.
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TwentyFour
Labour markets show encouraging signs of progress
Aug 30 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Labour markets show encouraging signs of progress

Felipe Villarroel takes a look at what progress, if any, has been made in the labour market and how this resonates with the Fed's projection of labour markets easing while not experiencing a major disruption.
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