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  • Section 899: A big, beautiful source of uncertainty for foreign investors?
  • Tariff turnaround resets the outlook for fixed income
  • JGBs: are rising yields a risk to insurers?
  • European high yield untroubled by default rate spike
  • Oil, Iran and why markets are staying calm
  • Should investors care about negative swap spreads?
  • Flash Fixed Income: Are markets complacent on tariff risks?
  • Reaction to eventful Monday bodes well for markets
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  • Flash Fixed Income: Rates calm before the storm?
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    Flash Fixed Income: Rates calm before the storm?
    Softer US economic data means the pressures on UST yields now look more balanced, but headlines around President Trump’s pick for the next Fed chair are just one reason investors should expect rates volatility to continue.

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Flash Fixed Income
24 Jun 2025 Flash Fixed Income

Flash Fixed Income: Rates calm before the storm?

Softer US economic data means the pressures on UST yields now look more balanced, but headlines around President Trump’s pick for the next Fed chair are just one reason investors should expect rates volatility to continue.
Read more
Oil, Iran and why markets are staying calm
17 Jun 2025 TwentyFour Blog

Oil, Iran and why markets are staying calm

Despite Israel and Iran exchanging fire for a fifth day, markets seem to be completely disregarding the possibility of this conflict mutating into something serious for the global economy.
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Tariff turnaround resets the outlook for fixed income
11 Jun 2025 Market Update

Tariff turnaround resets the outlook for fixed income

While tariffs have done meaningful damage to the economic outlook and raised volatility in rates markets, the softening of the US stance has restored confidence in credit returns for 2025.
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Section 899: A big, beautiful source of uncertainty for foreign investors?
4 Jun 2025 TwentyFour Blog

Section 899: A big, beautiful source of uncertainty for foreign investors?

As markets digest and speculate about the implications of the Trump administration’s 1,000+ page One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), new details are beginning to emerge.
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Reaction to eventful Monday bodes well for markets
20 May 2025 TwentyFour Blog

Reaction to eventful Monday bodes well for markets

Monday was a somewhat eventful day for markets with several headlines in the US and Europe. Risk assets did not necessarily reflect the eventfulness of the day, finishing virtually unchanged, while rates had a volatile day that ultimately produced a sizeable rally.
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Flash Fixed Income
14 May 2025 Flash Fixed Income

Flash Fixed Income: Are markets complacent on tariff risks?

The question for investors now is how much of the macro risk remains, and how well that risk is being reflected in asset valuations.
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US Autos: a bottom-up view of tariffs and the macro
14 May 2025 TwentyFour Blog

US Autos: a bottom-up view of tariffs and the macro

Thus far in 2025, the prevailing and overriding topic of conversation amongst economists and market participants has been tariffs and what they might mean for the global macro outlook.
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What does UK deal tell us about tariffs?
9 May 2025 TwentyFour Blog

What does UK deal tell us about tariffs?

With much fanfare, President Trump and Prime Minister Starmer announced a “historic” trade deal between the US and UK on Thursday. The main points for the UK are a reduction in auto tariffs from 27.5% to 10% for the first 100,000 cars that enter the US, and the removal of steel and aluminium tariffs.
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The state of play in fixed income after April turmoil
6 May 2025 TwentyFour Blog

The state of play in fixed income after April turmoil

April was one of the most volatile months across financial markets in recent memory, triggered by President Trump’s sweeping tariff announcement on April 2.
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Was negative US growth actually negative?
1 May 2025 TwentyFour Blog

Was negative US growth actually negative?

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) published its first estimate for Q1 US GDP growth, which at -0.3% was slightly worse than the Bloomberg consensus of -0.2% on a quarter-on-quarter (QoQ), seasonally adjusted, annualised basis.
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Rating upgrades highlight Europe’s improved position
23 Apr 2025 TwentyFour Blog

Rating upgrades highlight Europe’s improved position

With a week currently feeling like a long time in geopolitics, the European sovereign crisis at the beginning of the last decade feels even more like a distant memory. The road to recovery for Europe’s periphery economies has been long and windy, but post-Covid it has been surprisingly smooth.
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Three conclusions from a chaotic week for markets
14 Apr 2025 TwentyFour Blog

Three conclusions from a chaotic week for markets

Last week was one of the most volatile on record. President Trump's announcement of a 90-day pause in reciprocal tariffs for every country bar China sparked one of the largest rallies in equity indices in recent history.
Read more
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