Monetary Policy

Felipe Villarroel discusses the observations of the median long run rate and what this means for the neutral rate.

In a week with several important releases and monetary policy decisions, what have we learnt?

What can we expect from central banks this week? Felipe Villarroel looks at how recent CPI prints in the Eurozone and in the United States are expected to influence upcoming central bank monetary policy decisions.

What have we learnt from the ECB’s Consumer Expectations Survey? Felipe Villarroel discusses how latest changes in the consumer’s expectations of the economy reflect that the ECB’s monetary policy is actually working.

In recent weeks the US debt ceiling has been dominating headlines with investors focused on the imminent threat of a US default which would be extremely unnerving for global markets. We look at the wider implications facing the US economy.

What do the release of the Fed minutes tell us about the forward path for monetary policy? Danny Zaid argues that for market participants looking for clarity, the minutes, provide more questions than answers.

Following the publication of the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey, Felipe Villarroel highlights what caught our attention in the report and if it signals further tightening of financial conditions.

Is the end of rate hikes near for the US? Concerns over regional banks and a weakening labour market are raising questions about the Fed's next move.

The Bank of England joins the European Central Bank in stating that there is a clear hierarchy when it comes to a resolution or an insolvency scenario.

February was a nasty throwback to the sort of market conditions that battered fixed income in 2022, but the pull-back has given anyone worried they’d missed the January rally an even better opportunity, says Charlene Malik.

With banks tightening lending criteria in the US, Felipe Villarroel explains why macro trends like this will have more influence on the Fed’s thinking than the recent strong jobs data when it comes to the path for monetary policy.

With 2023’s rally halted by the Fed’s hawkish messaging, Felipe Villarroel questions whether markets read the recent jobs data correctly and looks at what it means for terminal rate expectations.