Monetary Policy

Jerome Powell’s recent testimony to the Senate Banking Committee, in which he said the Fed would discuss a faster taper of its asset purchases at December’s FOMC meeting, has led to intense speculation that we could see a move this week.

Shortly after publishing his annual Rodney Blog, TwentyFour CEO Mark Holman sat down with Tom Porter to discuss the biggest calls fixed income investors will have to make in 2022, and explain why he believes the current disconnect between monetary policy, the economy and the markets cannot last for long.

How do investors deal with inflation? Do central banks know what they’re doing? And does anyone know where Treasuries are heading? CEO Mark Holman tackles the bond market’s biggest questions as he looks ahead to 2022.

What we are currently experiencing is a disconnect between monetary policy, the economy and the markets, a disconnect that in our view will struggle to survive much longer.

With rising government bond yield curves one of the biggest concerns for fixed income fund managers going into 2022, Eoin Walsh points to interest rate swaps as one option for reducing the rates risk of a portfolio without impacting its credit exposure.

This week the team at TwentyFour have been busy compiling our 2022 fixed income outlook, which will be published next week. There is no doubt we are confronted with a challenging set of circumstances, which will provide investors – not just in fixed income – with headwinds in the year ahead, and in particular we think during the first half.

Eoin Walsh explains how bond investors can use the three dimensions of credit – amount, quality, duration – to help maximise or protect returns through different stages of the economic cycle.

So that’s the banks, rates, swaps and currency traders that all apparently got the wrong end of the stick. Explaining how you might arrive at a future monetary policy decision is a challenging and fine balancing act, but as Governor of the Bank of England that is of course one your jobs.

Speculation on the timing of the Bank of England’s first post-pandemic rate hike has been rife. But whether the BoE hikes rates later this week, next month or even waits until after year-end, it is worth thinking about what it will mean for the general public, a step away from the financial markets.

Following a turbulent week for rates markets, Eoin Walsh outlines what investors can expect as the Bank of England and other central banks meet this week.

A member of the Multi-Sector Bond team discusses market conditions in Q3 2021 and provides her outlook for the rest of the year.

TwentyFour Portfolio Manager, Diana Chiu, discusses how Investment Grade markets have performed in Q3 2021 and provides her outlook for the rest of the year.