Multi-Sector Bonds

The European Central Bank (ECB) will almost certainly start their rates cutting cycle next month. Supportive inflation data and clear guidance from the governing council has driven market implied probabilities of a June cut to almost 100%, with little in the way to derail that.

The term ‘fossil fuel financing’ refers to the provision of capital (including loans, investments, and other forms of capital) to companies involved in the exploration, extraction and production of coal, oil and natural gas.

In this Back to Basics webinar, Jakub Lichwa (Portfolio Management) and Dillon Lancaster (Portfolio Management) from our Multi-Sector Bond team gave their valuable insights into the importance of maintaining sufficient levels of bank capital to uphold financial stability.

George Curtis, Portfolio Management, discusses the Multi-Sector Bond team's performance in Q1 2024, highlighting the improved clarity in deciphering central bank actions. With an anticipated central bank rate cut as the next move, the team remain confident in navigating the market's developments.

Income has returned. After a couple of barren years, yields in high-quality bonds that were not too long ago returning just 2% or 3% are now set to bring in 7% to 8%. And this jump in yields looks to be a game changer for investors.

Dillon Lancaster provides an update on the recent events which occurred during Q4 2023, highlighting the volatility in the treasury market which dominated the beginning of the fourth quarter, and the turnaround in November, which saw US inflation fall below expectations and labour data weaken.

There is good reason for fixed income investors to be positive as we move into 2024, although there is also reason to remain cautious. The welcome news is that inflation globally has finally started to fall after remaining stubbornly high for most of 2023.

After a horrible year for financial markets in 2022, the macro-outlook for 2023 had a lot of consensus views, with most predicting a much better year ahead, helped by supportive rate cuts from central banks and positive returns from both government bonds and credit.  

George Curtis provides a macro update on fixed income markets and an overview of positioning in the TwentyFour Select Monthly Income Fund. 

A member of the Multi-Sector Bond team outlines the significance of active engagement within the ESG process at TwentyFour, and provides some examples of our recent engagements. 

A member of our Multi-Sector Bond team reflects on a tricky quarter for markets, highlighting the behaviour of the US Federal Reserve, the ECB and the Bank of England and then discusses the ways in which the MSB team have responded to these Q3 events.

Dillon Lancaster, Portfolio Management, provides an update on European banks and AT1s and the bout of volatility they suffered earlier this year, following the US regional bank crisis and Credit Suisse.