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  • Flash Fixed Income: AI and the software sell-off
  • Flash Fixed Income: Iran shock is driving central banks apart
  • Iran, energy shocks and the inflation challenge
  • CLOs reprice as software and geopolitics test sentiment
  • What the bear case on AI is missing
  • This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
  • Navigating 2026 risks with short-dated credit
  • Record supply amid Iran turmoil shows weight of demand for bonds
  • Is number of UK savers a problem for the Bank of England?
  • Flash Fixed Income: The Fed independence premium
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    This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
    This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
    With no end in sight to the US-Israeli war with Iran, and tensions escalating once again over the weekend, investors are bracing for more volatility. Inflation fears have ramped up significantly, reflected clearly in government bond markets where rising yields show rate cuts being priced out and rate hikes increasingly being priced in.

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TwentyFour

2020-01-07_24_newell-fallen-angel-to-rising-star_teaser
Jan 06 2020 TwentyFour Blog

Newell: Fallen Angel to Rising Star?

Fixed income investors are well versed in the risks of ‘fallen angels’, investment grade companies whose bonds tumble in value once they are downgraded to high yield.
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Dec 20 2019 TwentyFour Blog

New Regulation Likely to Hurt HY Liquidity

The regulations governing market activity have been constantly evolving, but the ESMA directive implementing the Central Securities Depositories Regulation (CSDR) will potentially have quite an impact on traded credit.
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2019-12-17_24_carney-to-leave-uk-banks-on-solid-ground_teaser
Dec 17 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Carney to Leave UK Banks on Solid Ground

The Bank of England (BoE) on Monday published its latest financial stability report and the results of its 2019 bank stress tests, and declared that the UK financial system is well prepared for even a worst-case Brexit and consequent trade war.
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2019-12-16_24_corecivic-shows-esg-will-take-no-prisoners_teaser
Dec 16 2019 TwentyFour Blog

CoreCivic Shows ESG Will Take No Prisoners

"One group of issuers that appears vulnerable to us as we move into a new decade is those facing increased investor scrutiny due to Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors. The case of CoreCivic, a listed REIT in the US, is a good example"
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2019-12-16_24_what-next-for-sterling-bonds_teaser
Dec 13 2019 TwentyFour Blog

What Next For Sterling Bonds?

Overnight markets have had significant news to digest, with two of the major geopolitical hurdles that had been worrying investors being removed.
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Dec 11 2019 TwentyFour Blog

European HY Default Rates Doubling No Reason to Panic

"Where defaults get to exactly depends on a few things, but we can certainly analyse where we think the problem areas could be, whether cracks are already starting to appear, and what investors might do to protect themselves."
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2019-12_2020-outlook_tfoutlook_teaser
Dec 09 2019 Outlook

Fixed Income 2020: A Brave Old World

Twelve months ago, as we wrote our annual review and forecast for 2019, backing 10-year German government bonds that were yielding just 0.24% at the time to perform would have been a brave call.
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2019-12-04_24_trade-war-volatility-maintains-grip-on-bonds_teaser
Dec 04 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Trade war volatility maintains grip on bonds

By now investors should be getting used to the ever more frequent hiccups in the trade negotiations between the US and the rest of the world.
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2019-11-26_24_data-decline-eases-for-germany-and-us_teaser
Nov 26 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Data decline eases for Germany and US

"In some parts of the global economy, we might be seeing a bottom in terms of low activity levels." TwentyFour's Felipe Villarroel discusses the factors behind these improving trends.
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2019-11-22_24_nibs-leading-the-way-in-esg_teaser
Nov 22 2019 TwentyFour Blog

NIBC leading the way in ESG

“NIBC, has been involved in ESG/CSR focused lending in Europe for some time, and is the first manager to issue what we might call an ESG CLO." Elena Rinaldi discusses why in terms of ESG, NIBC would receive a high score from us.
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2019-11-20_24_fitch-keeps-at1-investors-on-their-toes_teaser
Nov 20 2019 TwentyFour Blog

Fitch keeps AT1 investors on their toes

"We have been participants in the Additional Tier 1 (AT1) sector since its introduction in 2013, albeit with a high degree of selectivity, but the risk-reward has been obvious to us." Gary Kirk discusses the latest AT1 news from Fitch
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2019-11-18_24_ig-demand-would-be-key-to-walgreens-buyout_teaser
Nov 15 2019 TwentyFour Blog

IG demand would be key to Walgreens buyout

At this late point in the cycle, fixed income investors are on high alert for signs of potential excess in the capital markets, and a proposal for potentially the biggest leveraged buyout (LBO) in history would certainly fall into that category.
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