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    Term premium has risen, and may not have peaked
    Term premium has risen, and may not have peaked
    The importance of “term premium” in discussions about yield curves has been on the rise this year.

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Insights Topic

Fixed Income

2023-09-01_US-Brand_paris_teaser.jpg
Aug 21 2023 Viewpoint

Fixed income opportunities in a soft landing scenario

After a difficult 2022, bonds may be poised for unusually high returns compared to historic averages. And not just in the US -- we see opportunities in European CLOs and RMBS. They offer double digit yields for short-dated debt and look very attractive on a relative value basis compared to domestic credit.
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Savings ratios diverging dynamics
Aug 04 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Diverging dynamics in savings ratios

As governments around the world provided support in various manners during the pandemic, savings ratios increased to levels that were twice as large as the previous all time highs in some countries. Felipe Villarroel takes a look at some countries' spending vs savings monthly data patterns and lays out what he thinks this means for fixed income investors.
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Banks have done their part – now will markets catch up
Aug 02 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Banks have done their part – now will markets catch up

Bank bonds have been amongst the best performing asset classes in fixed income over the last few months, doing their bit in proving their strength.
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Reinvestment risk growing, along with the soft landing narrative
Jul 19 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Reinvestment risk growing, along with the soft landing narrative

What level of risk are investors willing to take? As central bank rates hike and a soft landing narrative makes its way into analysts’ forecasts, Eoin Walsh takes a look at what affects this has on investment risk and reinvestment risk.
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Soft landing narrative taking hold
Jul 18 2023 TwentyFour Blog

Soft landing narrative taking hold

What sort of landing will the global economy experience? With the recent release of the US CPI report, inflation has been on a downward trend and the resilient activity data has continued to surprise many. This report has acted as a trigger of sorts for increasing calls for a soft landing.
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A busy week ahead for central banks
Jun 12 2023 TwentyFour Blog

A busy week ahead for central banks

What can we expect from central banks this week? Felipe Villarroel looks at how recent CPI prints in the Eurozone and in the United States are expected to influence upcoming central bank monetary policy decisions.
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European consumers not expecting a hard landing
Jun 08 2023 TwentyFour Blog

European consumers not expecting a hard landing

What have we learnt from the ECB’s Consumer Expectations Survey? Felipe Villarroel discusses how latest changes in the consumer’s expectations of the economy reflect that the ECB’s monetary policy is actually working.
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US debt - stuck in a vicious cycle
Jun 01 2023 TwentyFour Blog

US debt - stuck in a vicious cycle

In recent weeks the US debt ceiling has been dominating headlines with investors focused on the imminent threat of a US default which would be extremely unnerving for global markets. We look at the wider implications facing the US economy.
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European banks continue to deliver, on earnings and calls
Apr 27 2023 TwentyFour Blog

European banks continue to deliver, on earnings and calls

As earnings season kicks off in Europe, Eoin Walsh looks at what impact, if any, recent volatility in the banking sector has had on European banks. 
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Asset-Backed Securities Quarterly Update – January 2023
Jan 19 2023 Market Update

Asset-Backed Securities Quarterly Update – January 2023

TwentyFour Partner and Portfolio Manager, Douglas Charleston, describes the developments of the ABS market in Q4 2022.
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First results from great QT experiment are positive
Jan 17 2023 TwentyFour Blog

First results from great QT experiment are positive

With many market participants fearing the impact of quantitative tightening (QT), Johnathan Owen looks at one central bank’s early experience of actively selling bonds to investors.
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AroundTown: bad call
Dec 08 2022 TwentyFour Blog

AroundTown: bad call

In our latest blog, Pierre Beniguel looks at the implications of AroundTown’s corporate hybrid non-call and the shock announcement that it will also consider deferring coupon payments.
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