Financial conditions are tightening – what comes next?
With banks tightening lending criteria in the US, Felipe Villarroel explains why macro trends like this will have more influence on the Fed’s thinking than the recent strong jobs data when it comes to the path for monetary policy.
Are markets finally following the Fed?
With 2023’s rally halted by the Fed’s hawkish messaging, Felipe Villarroel questions whether markets read the recent jobs data correctly and looks at what it means for terminal rate expectations.
High yield data shows buffer in corporate balance sheets
While corporate fundamentals are expected to deteriorate as rate hikes hit the economy, many metrics are pointing to record strength in the European high yield space, says George Curtis.
UK consumer caution bad for growth, but good for bonds
With UK consumers holding on to more of their pandemic-era savings than their US counterparts, Felipe Villarroel looks at what it means for bond investors.
Let it go, turn away and slam the door
With commercial real estate continuing to suffer the effects of the COVID pandemic and inflation, Elena Rinaldi looks at one CMBS transaction highlighting the challenges facing the asset class.
Fundamentals suggest more upside for high yield bonds
With risk assets rallying hard in the early weeks of 2023, Chris Holman reviews fundamentals in high yield bonds to see if recent performance has left any value in the market.