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  • Flash Fixed Income: Iran shock is driving central banks apart
  • CLOs reprice as software and geopolitics test sentiment
  • Iran, energy shocks and the inflation challenge
  • This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
  • What the bear case on AI is missing
  • Flash Fixed Income: AI and the software sell-off
  • Record supply amid Iran turmoil shows weight of demand for bonds
  • Navigating 2026 risks with short-dated credit
  • Is number of UK savers a problem for the Bank of England?
  • European banks carry profit momentum into 2026
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    This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
    This isn’t 2022, but inflation threat is real
    With no end in sight to the US-Israeli war with Iran, and tensions escalating once again over the weekend, investors are bracing for more volatility. Inflation fears have ramped up significantly, reflected clearly in government bond markets where rising yields show rate cuts being priced out and rate hikes increasingly being priced in.

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TwentyFour Blog

Mar 26 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Looking at all of the Dot Plots

Last Wednesday the Fed raised interest rates in the US for the sixth time since it began this hiking cycle at the end of 2015.
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Hammer Time? No it’s Politicians’ Time
Mar 23 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Hammer Time? No it’s Politicians’ Time

On Sunday Lewis Hamilton begins his quest for a 5th Formula One World Championship.
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Comparing Yields in Different Currencies
Mar 19 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Comparing Yields in Different Currencies

Fixed income managers always want to have the flexibility to find the best value across their investment sphere and therefore need the capacity to buy bonds in different currencies.
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Mar 16 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Roll Down explained

Several times this year we have discussed the benefits of “roll down” in an environment that for fixed income investing is particularly unfriendly. We believe roll down gains will be one of the best ways to protect portfolios in 2018 from the rising rate curves that we have been experiencing so far.
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Mar 14 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Aviva Upsetting The Equilibrium

As bond investors we always need to make sure that the companies we invest with are managing our interests alongside those of other stakeholders in a manner that protects our interests sufficiently. Historically, this aspect of governance has been most relevant to companies run by private equity managers or companies with a single large investor who is in a high ranking executive position.
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Surprise or Shock to the System
Mar 08 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Surprise or Shock to the System

One of the most important considerations for us as bond investors is determining where we are in the economic cycle.
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CLOs 5 years on
Mar 07 2018 TwentyFour Blog

CLOs 5 years on

Five years ago, the European CLO market restarted when Cairn issued the first post-crisis CLO in Europe – the start of the 2.0 market – and after a slow first year we have seen plenty more CLOs coming to market from a large mix of legacy and new managers.
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Wishing Upon 5 Star
Mar 01 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Wishing Upon 5 Star

Ballots are still being counted in this weekend’s Italian election but the picture is becoming clear, with two parties emerging stronger from the ashes of a bitter electoral campaign: 5 Star have estimated to have polled 32% and the far right Lega (a.k.a. Northern League) have 18%, but no one coaltion can claim a victory.
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Going it Alone
Mar 01 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Going it Alone

All good things must come to an end, and from today UK bank treasurers face life without the Term Funding Scheme (TFS).
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Fishing For The Brexit Premium
Feb 28 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Fishing For The Brexit Premium

Ever since the result of the Brexit referendum we have seen a premium on £ credit spreads, and we have thought it worthwhile trying to exploit this premium – in a measured way.
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Which foot will the Italians’ political boot end up on?
Feb 23 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Which foot will the Italians’ political boot end up on?

Last Friday saw the publication of the last electoral poll before the Italian elections that will be held on the 4th of March.
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Fed Minutes and Potential Changes to Mandate
Feb 22 2018 TwentyFour Blog

Fed Minutes and Potential Changes to Mandate

Yesterday the Fed published the minutes of their January FOMC meeting and the message regarding the economy and labour markets continues to be one of strength.
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