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TwentyFour Blog

why 85 is the new par in high yield size
28 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Why 85 is the new par in high yield

Pierre Beniguel explains why high yield issuers are selling new bonds at steep discounts to par value, and why this represents an opportunity to build potentially significant performance into fixed income portfolios going forward.
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Barren Q2 suggests autumn opportunity in ABS Teaser
27 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Barren Q2 suggests autumn opportunity in ABS

European ABS issuers largely held off on printing new deals in Q2 as broader market volatility saw spreads widen, but we are already seeing more investor-friendly structures and many favoured names are likely to bring deals offering markedly higher yields when activity picks up again.
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Upcoming US earnings season sheds light on the health of corporate America
26 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Upcoming US earnings season sheds light on the health of corporate America

With earnings season entering full swing, David Norris highlights some indicators to look out for when assessing the current state of the US economy and the resulting actions expected from the Fed.
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US bank chiefs still like the consumer
19 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog

US bank chiefs still like the consumer

US banks remain bullish about the health of the consumer, but credit spreads are still pricing in not only a recession, but a fairly severe one. Are the banks wrong? Or have credit markets just backed up too far on negative fund flows?
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15 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Why are CLOs pricing in a worse recession than Moody’s?

With yields on B rated CLO bonds now as high as 18%, Elena Rinaldi looks at various scenarios for corporate default rates and questions why investors are overshooting even the most pessimistic scenarios.
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Buy now while spreads last
14 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Buy now while spreads last

With corporate bond spreads having risen to not far short of crisis levels, Johnathan Owen argues the 4%-plus yields on offer in short dated investment grade are an attractive entry point for investors that might not be around for long.
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Heimstaden and hybrids to call or not to call
12 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Heimstaden and hybrids: to call or not to call

With Heimstaden showing its commitment to corporate hybrids with a €600m tender offer, Pierre Beniguel looks at the complex decision issuers have to make and says more could follow suit with bonds trading at steep discounts.
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Liquidity is expensive, but it’s there
11 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Liquidity is expensive, but it’s there

European ABS and CLOs had a turbulent Q2 as broader macro headwinds sparked heavy selling, but investors have made good use of direct trading to pick up bonds at prices not seen since Europe’s sovereign debt crisis.
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away from downing street some prudence in the uk
8 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Away from Downing Street, some prudence in the UK

Political chaos is once again taking the headlines in the UK, but bond investors should be cheering the UK regulator’s decision to raise banks’ capital buffers in preparation for an anticipated economic downturn, says Gary Kirk.
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Two pieces of good news for investors on inflation teaser
7 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Two pieces of good news for investors on inflation

With investors seemingly unwilling to put money to work until they see clear evidence of the inflation trend reversing, Felipe Villarroel looks at two developments that tentatively suggest central banks’ delicate balancing act is actually working.
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The Fed and the flows are looking at inflation head-on teaser
4 Jul 2022 TwentyFour Blog

The Fed and the flows are looking at inflation head-on

After H1 2022 broke market records for all the wrong reasons, Gary Kirk says fixed income outflows could reverse quickly if investors see evidence that central banks are turning the tide on inflation.
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Low issuance – a sign of strong fundamentals?
30 Jun 2022 TwentyFour Blog

Low issuance – a sign of strong fundamentals?

The US high yield market has experienced the third lightest month in terms of new issue flows since the Global Financial Crisis. Chris Holman explains what this means for default rates going into the second half of the year.
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