Evidence of Tightening in Italy
We have been discussing for a while what the quantifiable impacts of Italy’s populist government have been for the country’s economy.
Insights Topic
Europe
A (Measured) Buying Opportunity in Credit
There were sharp declines across global risk assets on Tuesday, led by tech stocks but with barely an asset class left unscathed.
Italian Banks - What Do The Earnings Tell Us?
After some very negative research pieces – some almost sensationally so – on the affect the wider Italian Government Bond (BTP) spreads would have on Italian banks, yesterday we got to see the facts from Intesa Sanpaolo when it reported its Q3 earnings.
Big Few Days For Europe’s Banks
As expected, the EBA 2018 stress tests, which were widely reported on yesterday did not have much of an impact on markets generally, although it’s worth looking at some of the stresses.
Is there a case for Italian RMBS?
At TwentyFour our Italian ABS holdings are fairly moderate, and in general our peripheral ABS exposure has been steadily decreasing for some time. This has nothing to do with credit quality, but everything to do with relative value.
Another Reason To Be Skeptical Of Italy's Growth Projections
It may come as a surprise to some that the country currently experiencing the fastest pace of monetary tightening across developed nations is in Europe, where the main refinancing rate is well and truly anchored at -0.40%.
Italy Disappoints
This morning we arrived to the news that the Italian government was preparing a budget that had a deficit of 2.4%.
Hedging Costs Can Also Be a Benefit
Those of you who have seen or heard one of our presentations will be aware of the significant impact that the FX-basis currently has on our relative value bond selection.
Investors Need a Big Hike From Turkey
This is a crucial week for Turkey’s economy and the Central Bank of Turkey’s credibility.
Where there’s a will, there’s a way
Since that first encounter the market has remained a core financing option for banks’ consumer and corporate lending books, but there has always been a degree of innovation around the fringes.
Italian Politicians Are Listening to the Market
Last Friday we were surprised that a comment from a G7 finance minister, which should have been taken highly positively, was somewhat skipped over by the markets.
Italian Politics Delicately Poised
Our attention this morning was grabbed by a headline from Italy’s La Stampa, which reported that Finance Minister Giovanni Tria is preparing a 2019 budget that will result in a 1.5% deficit/GDP ratio for the indebted EU nation.