All insights

This deal may well perform in the short-term, and we sincerely hope Alpha’s plan works, but we also recognise there is a high degree of execution risk and the domestic economy still has considerable headwinds.

Perfect timing is practically impossible in situations like these, but one way to tackle this risk is to gradually reduce ‘good’ duration by moving to the shorter part of the UST curve, which would be less sensitive to a move higher in yields.

Chris Bowie outlines the highlights and lowlights for the fund, the successes and challenges, the triumphs and the odd sleepless night.

In what was Mark Carney’s last meeting as governor of the Bank, the MPC delivered a mixed message.

Given the material positive performance seen in other parts of the fixed income markets in 2019, the CLO relative value proposition now looks even more attractive.

A rate cut now makes very little sense to us, and wastes one of the few bullets the BoE has left in its armoury. If they do decide to cut next week, we think it will be reversed within 12 months.

Ben Hayward looks at the Q4 performance for Asset Backed Securities and provides an outlook for the year ahead.

Chris Bowie looks at the performance of the Outcome Driven strategy over the last quarter and provides his outlook for 2020.

CEO and Portfolio Manager Mark Holman discusses Q4 performance for the Strategic Income strategy and provides his outlook for 2020.

We have talked regularly about avoiding ‘next year’s skeletons’, and this is now more pertinent given the strength of the current technical backdrop, combined with spread levels that are significantly tighter relative to this time last year.

We have already highlighted the blistering pace of bond sales in both Europe and the US, and this being met with apparently insatiable demand from fixed income investors. Since European ABS markets tend to lag broader fixed income, it seems fitting that we have had to wait another week before seeing that primary machine start to accelerate.

While the European bond market was setting records last week, the US market has also begun 2020 with a flurry of transactions backed up by record inflows.