The TwentyFour Blog

With banks tightening lending criteria in the US, Felipe Villarroel explains why macro trends like this will have more influence on the Fed’s thinking than the recent strong jobs data when it comes to the path for monetary policy.

With 2023’s rally halted by the Fed’s hawkish messaging, Felipe Villarroel questions whether markets read the recent jobs data correctly and looks at what it means for terminal rate expectations.

While corporate fundamentals are expected to deteriorate as rate hikes hit the economy, many metrics are pointing to record strength in the European high yield space, says George Curtis.

With UK consumers holding on to more of their pandemic-era savings than their US counterparts, Felipe Villarroel looks at what it means for bond investors.

With commercial real estate continuing to suffer the effects of the COVID pandemic and inflation, Elena Rinaldi looks at one CMBS transaction highlighting the challenges facing the asset class.

With risk assets rallying hard in the early weeks of 2023, Chris Holman reviews fundamentals in high yield bonds to see if recent performance has left any value in the market.

With Norinchukin Bank reportedly looking again at CLOs, Aza Teeuwen looks at the potential impact the return of the one of the market’s biggest buyers might have on spreads.

Strong performance across markets in January has left some investors feeling they’ve missed out on the rally in bonds. No need to worry, says Felipe Villarroel.

Having done its job of delivering lower volatility and better performance than mainstream bond markets in 2022, the income and defensive characteristics of European ABS look equally compelling in 2023, says Doug Charleston.

While yields have soared in recent months and created a broad buying opportunity in fixed income, Aza Teeuwen says investors should look at floating rate bonds to benefit from higher coupons today.

With commercial real estate seen to be in the eye of the storm as interest rates rise, Aza Teeuwen looks at the potential impact on CMBS and CRE loans and highlights where valuations could be most at risk.

European ABS is enjoying a spurt of new issuance and a parallel rally in spreads, with investors having entered the new year with cash to invest and buoyed by renewed hope around inflation and monetary policy, says Pauline Quirin.