US Credit shows healthy supply and demand dynamics
US corporate bond primary markets have had a robust start to the year as both Investment Grade (IG) and High Yield (HY) companies have looked to take advantage of the recent rally in rates and spreads that we have experienced since Fed Chairman Powell's December FOMC comments up until his more cautious stance in the January meeting.
Next week’s CPI numbers will provide more clues on rate cuts
Next week markets will receive January Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation prints from the US and the UK, which will no doubt be widely followed. In the US, the Bloomberg consensus is for a significant drop in headline CPI from 3.4% to 2.9%, while core is expected to decline by a less spectacular 20 bps from 3.9% to 3.7%. For the UK, consensus is for a small increase in CPI inflation from 4.0% to 4.1%.
Back to Basics: RMBS
In this Back to Basics webinar, Aza Teeuwen (Partner, Co-Head of ABS) and Douglas Charleston, (Partner, Co-Head of ABS) provided a comprehensive understanding of the key aspects and trends within the European RMBS market.
Issuer calls drive AT1 spread compression
A few weeks ago, JP Morgan skipped a call on one of its $1,000 par preference shares (“US Prefs”). The perpetual notes had a coupon of 6.75% payable until Jan’24, with a subsequent reset of 3-month SOFR + 404bps. Post the non-call, the coupon changed to 9.35% and will continue to reset every 3 months.
‘Let’s be honest, this is a good economy’: the Fed’s comments unpicked
Yesterday was an eventful day for markets. We started off with inflation data in Europe, followed by an earnings release by New York Community Bank that showed large provisions in their commercial real estate loan book, before moving onto the Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting
Explained: How floating rate bonds might behave if the BoE cuts rates
Low interest rates feel like a lifetime ago, but it was only in June 2022 that the Bank of England increased the base rate to 1.25%, the first time it moved above 0.75% since March 2009.